West Midlands population projected to grow by near 3% between 2007 and 2012

Office for National Statistics logoThe National Statistician’s annual article on the population has been published by the Office for National Statistics, covering the theme of aging and mortality, investigating the underlying demographic trends contributing to the UK’s population growth. The report also highlights key sub-national demographic statistics.

The UK’s population is projected to increase from 61 million in 2007 to 63.2 million in 2012 (3.7% growth), whereas over the same period in the West Midlands region the population is projected to increase from 5.4 million to 5.5 million (2.9% growth), the third lowest percentage increase of the nine English regions. The North East and North West are the only regions projected to record slower growth, whilst the East Midlands is forecast to experience the fastest with a population increase of 5.4%.

By 2031 due to their faster projected population growth, the regional populations of both the South West and Yorkshire & The Humber are forecast to exceed that of the West Midlands, based on assumptions that current trends in fertility, mortality and migration persist.

The report describes the profound changes the age structure of the UK’s population is expected to see in coming years. The statistics show that in 1982, 15% of the nation’s population were aged over 65 years, by 2007 this had increased only marginally to 16%, however by 2032 this figure is expected to reach 23%.Of the local authority districts and unitary authorities in the West Midlands region, South Shropshire has the oldest population with over 26% of its population of pensionable age in 2007.

Stoke-on-Trent stands out as recording the highest mortality rates in the region, being more than 20% higher than those recorded in the UK on average, whilst Sandwell has the second worst rate in our region.

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